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Eat These Shorts
The WTO isn't the only thing going on in town. It looks like port
container truck drivers are poised to go on strike again. After a
series of job actions in late August and early September, drivers gave the
Port of Seattle a 30-day grace period in which to make progress on drivers'
demands for union recognition. Surprise--the Port of Seattle has done
nothing. So the drivers, backed by Teamsters' local 174, are prepared to
raise the stakes; one local union organizer calls additional strikes
"virtually inevitable." And given that the trade-friendly Port of Seattle
is a public agency, support from non-union community activists would be
particularly useful as the sad situation escalates once again.--Geov
Parrish
Oregon governor John Kitzhaber unveiled an elaborate new four-state plan
last month to control the electricity and the dams of the Columbia/Snake
River system. That in itself is notable--there's a move afoot in Congress
to allow diversion of some of the Northwest's cheap, subsidized electricity
to California--but here's a different question: where the hell is Gary
Locke? As governor of the most populous state in the region, you'd
expect Locke to be taking a leadership role in crafting a plan for
stewardship of one of the region's most valuable resources. Nada. Like on
so many other issues, Locke seems to be missing in action. Being a
Clintonian Democrat, maybe that's a good thing, but still ... he is
getting paid to be the state's chief executive, and aside from his
Republican budgets, there's been precious little evidence of it during his
two years in office.--G.P.
A little-noticed article in the Wall Street Journal (9/13/99, A2) caught my
attention, because it revealed, among other things, how the government and
corporate America measures inflation. Entitled "Producer Price Index's 0.5%
Rise, Tied To Food, Energy, Masks Broader Drop," the article went on to
discuss huge jumps in the cost of wholesale food and gas prices, which
means you and I will pay more for food and transportation costs in the
coming months. But the article went on to reassure investors that most
other items--especially automobiles and computers--actually dropped in
price, so inflation should stay low. Naturally, this means the Producer
Price Index is skewed. For those of us who don't buy a new car and computer
every year, but have to eat and travel to work every day, inflation is
on the rise, and it's rising fast. Add an 88% jump in oil prices this
year to rising food costs plus the escalating price of housing in the Puget
Sound area (where housing costs are rising faster than almost anywhere else
in the U.S.), and local inflation is skyrocketing. But forget about
eating and finding a place to live; that new Nissan Pathfinder is cheaper
than ever!--Maria Tomchick
Not only is the Producer Price Index off kilter, but so is the Dow Jones
Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq Composite Index. Those
"indices" are quoted every night on the TV news to show that the U.S.
economy is flying high. But what do these indices really measure?
Four major technology stocks make up about 25% of the Nasdaq composite, for
example, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is being dominated by the
stocks of 50 large, "popular" companies--less than 1% of the companies that
offer stocks on the broad market. And stock prices can have very little
relationship to a company's actual performance. Amazon.com has yet to make
a profit, yet its stock price is still climbing, and it took only one
guffaw last week from Steve Ballmer to send Microsoft stock plunging.
Analysts are finally beginning to point to examples that we're already in a
recession: average stock prices have fallen nearly 20% since April
1998, nearly 90% of all stock is held by only 10% of the wealthiest
households in the U.S., the income gap is growing to levels not seen since
the 1920s, and a rising trade deficit (fueled in part by those rich folks
buying cheap imported cars and computers) has driven down the value of the
dollar. Let's see, wasn't that little Asian economic crisis last year
sparked off by a currency collapse? Can you say "sinkhole
economy?"--M.T. Some sources: "Bull market 'died' in 1998 but Wall
Street didn't hear," P-I (Reuters), 9/20/99, C2; "Wealth Gap Grows; Why
Does It Matter?," Wall Street Journal, 9/13/99, A1; "Deficit drives down
dollar," P-I (New York Times), 9/22/99, D1; and "Dollar's relative weakness
rattles markets," P-I (AP), 8/9/99.
But just because a high trade deficit can touch off a currency collapse and
a recession, doesn't mean trade is all bad, according to the World Trade
Organization (WTO) and its supporters. The WTO and local trade reps are
quaking in their Italian, patent-leather wingtips over press coverage
of anti-WTO groups in the Weekly, the P-I, the Seattle Times, and even the
Wall Street Journal. In response, some of the largest companies in the U.S.
have formed a new group to spout pro-trade propaganda: the U.S. Alliance
for Trade Expansion. Its membership includes Boeing, Paccar, General
Electric, IBM, Procter & Gamble, and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The
group plans to set up a "war room" in Seattle in the weeks prior to the WTO
conference to issue press releases about how "global trade is responsible
for America's booming economy." (Ha ha.) But the backlash has already
started: the P-I, for example, ran a pro-trade front page article last week
that even gave readers the websites for the WTO, the Seattle Host
Committee, and other pro-trade groups ... and tacked on Public Citizen's
Global Trade Watch website at the very bottom (to avoid the "appearance of
bias," no doubt). But this response shows how startlingly effective the
anti-WTO activists have been. Naturally, it helps that they have the facts
on their side--but it also takes lots of hard work to get a generally
pro-business media to cover an issue like this. Great job,
folks.--M.T.
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