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Election Notes: Progressives and Other Losers
by Geov Parrish
You wanna know how bad off progressives were in the election recently
concluded on November 2? The election dawned with folks like the Seattle
Progressive Coalition and Seattle Greens loudly trumpeting that their
endorsements would usher in a new era of majority progressive rule in the
Seattle City Council. And, indeed, their candidates (with the notable
exception of the most progressive one of all, Daniel Norton) survived the
primary election and moved on to the general. Where they got waxed.
Curt Firestone, who ran an aggressive and well-financed prog race against
incumbent Margaret Pageler, gained exactly 13% more (35%) than Lenora Jones,
an African-American who ran no campaign at all (22%) against incumbent
greenie icon Peter Steinbrueck. Either Steinbrueck is weaker than most
imagined--and the generally used figure is that being on the ballot in a two-
person race is worth 25%--or Firestone bombed. Or both. If you figure that
22%-25% is the tally any candidate can get by being listed on the ballot,
that extra 10% or 13% represents the base of solid progreesive votes in
Seattle--not enough to influence much of anything, let alone win city-wide
office. It might swing an otherwise close election, but the progressive bloc
by itself is incapable at this point in time of electing anybody, and that's
the cold truth. There's a lot of grass roots organizing that has to take
place before anyone can talk about having a predictably progressive majority
on city council.
Unfortuntaely, the biggest loser in the election seems to be the council's
most progressive, and best, member, Nick Licata. Licata wrote fund-raisieng
appeal leters for three candidates: Charlie Chong, Judy Nicastro, and Dawn
Mason. All but Nicastro lost, and his support for Judy is tempered by his
original support for her primary opponent, Daniel Norton. Licata simply
doesn't have as many people who will vote on his say-so as he imagined; and
he may have shown himself to be just vulnerable enough that he will have
attracted an opponent from the newly emboldened downtown crowd in two years.
Maybe someone who's been on TV for a few years will do the trick.
The losses of both Chong and Cheryl Chow showed, in a perverse way, the power
of incumbancy. Had they not given up certain re-election to run for mayor two
years ago, both Chong and Chow would still be on council. But as contestants
for open seats they could not reclaim the seats that they probably figured at
one point to to be rightfully theirs.
Meanwhile, the I-695 vote showed once again that Washington is a crappy state
to live in if you're poor. After passage of I-695 we immediately saw a flurry
of op-ed pieces reassuring us that the voters know best and the sky won't
really fall in. No, not if you're well off; in fact, you'll save a good bit
of money the next time the tab on that Lexus comes due. But if you rely on
public transportation or a public health program, you're fucked. And don't
even think about the desperately needed expansion of the state's Basic Health
Plan, certain now to fall prey to other budget needs (like transportation)
axed by I-695. Ironically, the Seattle-centric anti-695 campaign did a piss-
poor job of letting rural Washington--which overwhelmingly supported the
measure--know that they're the ones who will be hardest hit in the realm of
lost basic services.
Speaking of transportation, it was a key issue in mail pieces by Wills and
especially Jim Compton, even though there's not much Seattle's city council
can actually do about the issue. The body that can, the County
Council, got much worse with the election of presumably pro-sprawl David
Irons to replace the council's strongest environmentalist, Brian Derdownski.
With no funds coming from the state and lots of new developments in the East
County on line, look for gridlock coming to a freeway system near you, soon.
And a few light rail lines in 2010 won't help much, either. If they
get built, which is a whole 'nother story.
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