| |
Facts on Afghanistan:
by Maria Tomchick
(From the CIA Factbook)
Population: 26.8 million (as of July 2001)
Natural Resources: natural gas, petroleum (oil), coal, copper, chromite,
talc, barites, sulfur, lead, zinc, iron ore, salt, precious stones
Geography: 12% arable land, 46% pasture land, 3% forests and woodlands, 39%
bare rock, mountain, desert, and other unproductive land.
Life expectancy: 46.97 years for men and 45.47 years for women
Ethnic groups: Pashtun 38%, Tajik 25%, Hazara 19%, Uzbek 6%, and minor
groups (Aimaks, Turkmen, Baloch and others) 12%.
Religions: Sunni Muslim 84%, Shi'a 15%, other 1%
Literacy: 47.2% of men and 15% of women
Per capita income: $800
Labor force: 70% agriculture, 15% industry, 15% service
Debt: $5.5 billion (as of 1996)
Exports: opium, fruits and nuts, handmade carpets, wool, cotton, hides and
pelts, and gems
Export partners: former Soviet states, Pakistan, Iran, Germany, India,
Britain, Belgium, Luxembourg, Czech Republic
Imports: food, most consumer goods, and capital goods (for example,
machinery, electronics, trucks, parts, etc.)
Infrastructure:
21,000 km of roads, but only 2,793 km are paved
1 natural gas pipeline
10 airports with paved runways and 3 helicopter pads
1 active AM radio station (in Kabul)
1 active FM radio station
10 TV stations in various cities (1 in Kabul run by the Taliban)
electricity production: 64.29% hydropower and 35.71 fossil fuels
55 military training bases and installations (according to press
accounts)--none of them are significant, according to the Bush
administration
Bin Laden: Scanty Evidence
Britain's Prime Minister, Tony Blair, released a report last week that
leaves "absolutely no doubt that bin Laden and his network are responsible"
for the World Trade Center and Pentagon attacks. But a closer look at the
report reveals inconsistencies and untruths that leave a lot of doubt as to
who planned the attacks.
Most of the report is devoted to linking bin Laden to the bombings of the
US embassies in Kenya in Tanzania in 1998. Testimony in the trial of the
men who carried out the embassy bombings implicates two groups: bin Laden's
Al Qaeda and the Egyptian Islamic Jihad.
Most of the FBI's and the CIA's understanding of Al Qaeda, its operatives,
and their links to other terrorist groups comes from the testimony in this
trial. The FBI's star witness, Jamal Al-Fadl, described a pyramid of
political, military, business, and charitable organizations with bin Laden
seated firmly at the top. Beneath bin Laden is a council called the Shura,
which consists of a group of senior members of several different terrorist
groups who share resources and run the committees. Notably, none of the
defendants on trial described this structure. Al-Fadl himself was a
defector from Al Qaeda; he had a falling out with bin Laden in 1998, then
stole some of Al Qaeda's funds and fled.
Al-Fadl then meandered around the Middle East, visiting Syria, Saudia
Arabia, and Israel. In each country, he tried to get the government to take
him seriously and listen to his story, to no avail. But then he approached
the US, which jumped at the chance to use him in the embassy bombings
trial.
In fact, videotapes seized in raids on suspected terrorists in Europe have
shown bin Laden and others issuing fatwas against the US in unison,
in support of each other. This points to a network of terrorist groups in
which the senior members are equals, not a corporate-style pyramidal
structure with bin Laden at the top.
It is difficult to believe that the senior members of Egyptian Islamic
Jihad, a group that is twice as old as Al Qaeda and has accomplished the
assassination of Anwar Sadat, bombings of Egyptian government buildings,
and devastating attacks on tourist sites, would defer to bin Laden.
The Blair report says: "Al-Qaida operatives ... have described how the
group spends years preparing for an attack. They conduct repeated
surveillance, patiently gather materials, and identify and vet operatives,
who have the skills to participate in the attack and the willingness to die
for their cause." The report states that this is a unique characteristic of
Al Qaeda, which is untrue. The same words can be used to describe Islamic
Jihad, the Islamic Army of Aden (which claimed credit for the USS Cole
bombing), Hezbollah (which blew up the US embassy in Lebanon in 1983 and
bombed the US army barracks in Beirut), the Algerian Armed Islamic Group
(responsible for bombings in Algeria and France), and dozens of other
terrorist groups.
The other evidence falls apart upon examination. Here's a quick rundown:
--Intercepted phone messages. Suspected Al Qaeda members discussed an
attack against US targets "on or around Sept. 11" before the WTC attack
happened. No support is given for this assertion. There's no explanation
why these messages are now being said to have occurred before the
attack and not afterwards, as originally reported.
Bin Laden called his mother on Sept. 10 saying that he wouldn't be able to
meet her in Damascus because something big was planned. This could have
been anything, including the suicide bombing that killed the main
opposition leader in Afghanistan the day before the WTC attack.
--Three of the hijackers have links to bin Laden. British and US
intelligence disagree on this. The US says Wali Mohamed al-Shehri and Hamza
Al-Ghamdi were trained by bin Laden, even though the evidence, which is
vague at best, places them at only one of the estimated 55 (or more)
training camps and schools in Afghanistan and Pakistan. The camp where the
two men supposedly trained is run by a different Islamic group that trains
guerrillas to fight in Kashmir.
The Blair report doesn't name the three hijackers, but British officials
say the three men are Mohamed Atta, Majed Moqed, and Khalid Almihdhar. The
report also says that Almihdhar is the Al Qaeda link to the Cole and
embassy bombings, but US officials dispute that. Almihdhar once met someone
in Malaysia who may have been linked to the Cole attack, but he didn't play
a part in either the Cole or embassy bombings.
--One of bin Laden's closest and most senior associates planned the WTC
attack. Again, the Blair report doesn't name this person. US intelligence
officials don't know who the report is referring to. They are puzzled by it
and think Tony Blair misread efforts to investigate bin Laden's associates
as an assertion that at least one of them planned the attack.
Other evidence cited in the media is equally flimsy:
--Suspicious short-selling of European airline and insurance stocks. The
CIA claims that bin Laden and Al Qaeda deal mostly in cash, so how could
they sell stock they don't own? The three companies whose stocks were
"targeted" had just issued financial information about lower-than-expected
profit levels, which is why their stock traded at a higher volume on Sept.
10.
--The French and Spanish links. Two groups of Islamic extremists recently
arrested in France and Spain are closely linked to the Algerian Armed
Islamic Group (GIA), and not to Al Qaeda.
On the other hand, Djamel Beghal, recently arrested in the United Arab
Emirates, has confessed that he was part of an "Al Qaeda" plot to bomb the
US embassy in Paris and other US targets in France. Beghal doesn't name bin
Laden specifically; instead, he was recruited by Abu Zubaydah, a
Palestinian with links to Hamas. Abu Zubaydah is one of several men living
in exile in Afghanistan who's often described as the "brains behind bin
Laden." (This implies that the term "mastermind" is an inaccurate
description of Osama bin Laden.)
--The German link. Several of the hijackers lived and studied at
universities in Hamburg, Germany. The German secret police believe they may
have had contact with a Syrian businessman named Mamoun Darkazanli, who at
one time managed some of bin Laden's financial assets, but they have no
proof other than "joint membership in Islamic clubs." German police
detained and questioned Darkazanli, but let him go for lack of evidence.
--And, finally, the money transfers. Mustafa Mohamed Ahmad, a man
suspected of being an Al Qaeda financial operative, transferred
money to one of the hijackers before the attacks. Three of the hijackers
transferred $15,000 back to Ahmad's account in the UAE. Then a man--no name
is given--took the cash and bought an airline ticket to Karachi, Pakistan,
where his trail disappeared. No evidence is given regarding Ahmad's links
to bin Laden or Al Qaeda. Notably, Pakistan, with its cash-based, black
market economy, is a perfect place to launder money. It's also the main
route for money to travel to reach Afghan charities or the Taliban for its
war effort.
It's possible that US intelligence agencies have more classified material
that the press and Tony Blair haven't seen, but that's unlikely. When the
US recently made its case for bin Laden's guilt to NATO, European diplomats
were quoted as saying that the evidence contained "no smoking gun," was
"circumstantial at best," and that much of it was already in the public
domain.
Some of the many sources for this article: "Allied Detail Case Against Bin
Laden," Los Angeles Times, 10/5/01; "Text of Evidence Against bin Laden,"
AP, 10/4/01; "Witness Revealed bin Laden's World," AP, 9/30/01; "Following
the money trail," BBC News Online, 9/19/01; "French trials expose bin Laden
tentacles," The Times of London, 9/28/01; "Paris suspect denies Bin Laden
link," BBC News Online, 10/2/01; "German Officials Link Hijackers To Al
Qaeda Group," Washington Post, 9/27/01, A1; "Bin Laden's 'cash link' to
hijackers," BBC News Online, 10/1/01; "NATO: U.S. Evidence on Bin Laden
'Compelling,'" Washington Post, 10/3/01, A11; and "Five Egyptian Islamic
militants appear on Bush's wanted list," Agence France Presse, 9/25/01.
|