Qwest and Immunex: Your Local Enron Wannabes
by Maria Tomchick
Enron is on everyone's lips. It's sparked over 30 separate bills introduced
in Congress to reform everything from accounting to 401(k) plans. But the
Enron road--a too-fast expansion followed by a spectacular collapse--is not
unique. A couple of local examples quickly come to mind.
Last week, Immunex, the local high-flying biotech pharmaceutical company,
admitted that it had a $671 million off-balance-sheet liability from the
construction of its waterfront headquarters in Seattle. Like Enron, Immunex
had used a tricky accounting move (setting up an outside partnership) to
hide the debt and construction costs from investors, thereby inflating its
earnings. Immunex called it a "synthetic lease."
Now, I'd love to ask my landlord for one of those, but he wouldn't go for
it. Neither should we. Immunex bought the Elliott Bay property from the
Port of Seattle, after finagling a new, publicly-financed $19 million
overpass so its employees wouldn't have to stop at a train crossing. That
$19 million came from the City, Port of Seattle, King County, and the
federal government. That money could have filled a lot of potholes and
financed partial construction of a monorail through the same area, instead,
it's money down the toilet.
With the recent news that Immunex is being bought out by California-based
Amgen, an obvious question arises: what will happen now to the Elliott Bay
headquarters construction? Immunex originally said it would build 15
separate buildings, including its new headquarters and a state-of-the-art
research facility, on that 19-acre parcel over a period of 15 years.
Everything is now up in the air, especially after Immunex's bombshell.
The original cost of the construction was estimated at $450 million in
2000, but Immunex's liability is now $671 million. With costs spiraling
upwards, Amgen may abandon all or a part of Immunex's plans, sell the
property, or, worst of all, simply let the property sit idle while it
appreciates in value. Or Amgen could do what Dynegy did to Enron: cry foul
and reverse its decision to buy Immunex.
This would leave Immunex with a big, newly disclosed debt on its balance
sheet. But that's not its only problem. Last week, Zymogenetics filed a
lawsuit charging that Immunex infringed on six of its patents when
producing Enbrel, Immunex's cash-cow drug. And a month ago, the medical
journal Lancet reported that 4 patients in a Chicago hospital had developed
lupus from taking Enbrel. Lawsuits are expensive and eat into cash flow.
Even more expensive would be a drug recall, because Enbrel is Immunex's
main money-making product, and none of the other drug it has in development
are nearly as promising.
You would think that the local newspapers and TV stations would be all over
this story, but you'd be wrong. Local companies can do no wrong, as
Microsoft, Amazon, and Boeing (who's no longer local, but still benefits
from favorable press here) have discovered.
So a company based in Denver, Colorado, which has a virtual lock on local
phone service in a 14-state region (including Washington State) and a
reputation for shoddy customer service should be fair game, right? Not so.
I'm talking about Qwest, of course. Nearly everyone I know has a story to
tell about double billing, denial of service, a DSL line that unaccountably
stopped working, getting billed for services not ordered, waiting weeks for
a line to be installed, and a host of other complaints about Qwest.
Qwest has traveled a long way down the Enron road. After two years of rapid
expansion, including the purchase of UW West in 2000, Qwest has billions of
dollars of debt on its balance sheet and no cash. It recently drew on a $4
billion line of credit to pay its day-to-day operating expenses (similar to
using your credit card to pay rent, buy food, and pay your other bills).
All of this debt adds up to trouble. This summer, Qwest will have $850
million in debt payments coming due; that amount will rise higher as it
draws on its line of credit. In addition, last week Moody's Investors
Service cut Qwest's credit rating down to one level above junk status and
warned that Qwest's rating could fall further. That means Qwest's interest
payments on its debt will soon be skyrocketing.
Qwest says it has a plan to boost cash flow and eventually pay off its
debts: sell some of its assets, cut its expenses, and issue "equity-based
securities."
These moves will probably add to the company's woes. Now is not the time to
be selling off assets. All the other big telecom companies are in bad
shape, too, with too much debt and too little cash flow, so there are no
buyers. Cutting expenses--in particular, laying off employees--will only
drive customers away and mean additional fines for Qwest, who already owes
its Washington State customers over $3 million for service problems. The
vague term "equity-based securities" could mean nearly anything in today's
free-for-all accounting climate. Investors, however, are becoming wary of
derivatives, junk bonds, and other risky financial schemes. Qwest may find
that no one wants to pay very much for bits and pieces of a falling telecom
empire.
Probably Qwest will default on some or all of its debt. That means
bankruptcy. And if you think that it's hard to get good customer service
from Qwest now, just try when it goes into Chapter 11. Bankruptcy also can
mean a big jump in rates or an expensive taxpayer bailout (as with
California utility companies)--or both at the same time.
The Seattle Times and P-I should be on top of this story, since it has the
potential to effect everyone who has a telephone. Instead, they're busy
writing flattering stories about Microsoft and Boeing and engaging in happy
talk about the end of the recession (it's coming any day now!). They're
sleepwalking, instead of practicing journalism.
Remember, you read it here first.
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