| |
It's Time for Elections, George
by Maria Tomchick
The Iraqi Governing Council in recent weeks has faced the threat of
extinction and, unfortunately, won a reprieve from the Bush administration.
Two weeks ago, the US viceroy in Iraq, Paul Bremer, was called to
Washington on very short notice to consult with the Bush administration
over the continuing disaster in Iraq--most particularly what should be done
about the Governing Council, which has become a source of contempt from
both Iraqis and the US military.
The Council has done nothing for the Iraqi populace. It meets three times a
week, makes no decisions, and has no power. The power rests with the US
authority, and Iraqis know this. If the power goes out, they go the
Americans. If a relative is arrested, they appeal to the Americans. If they
need permits, jobs, or help, the Governing Council is less than useless.
About the only business the Council can conduct is nepotism. Its
members--particularly the former exiles on the Council--have spent their
time in office winning political appointments and profitable business
contracts for friends, relatives, and business associates. While these
members have spent their time traveling abroad or networking for personal
gain, they've missed more Council meetings than they attended. Meanwhile,
there's been little oversight of the cabinet ministers and damn little
money available to get their offices outfitted and running.
Even worse, the Governing Council was nowhere near making a decision on a
timetable or process for setting up a new government. A deadline for
drafting the timetable, as required by UN resolution, was fast approaching,
and the factions on the Council were at absolute deadlock. And, surprise,
the Governing Council had every reason not to move forward: setting up a
new government would mean they'd put themselves out of business--and a
highly profitable business it is, too.
After his emergency meeting in Washington DC, Paul Bremer flew back to Iraq
and laid down the law, telling the Governing Council what the timetable and
process for a new Iraqi government will be. The US will draft an interim
constitution by February. An interim legislature will be chosen in May, its
representatives selected by town and regional councils. The US will then
turn over the running of the Iraqi government completely to the interim
legislature in June. Elections and a legitimate constitution will follow at
some undefined time in the future, perhaps in a couple of years. Maybe. If
the security situation improves.
In the meantime many Iraqis are uncomfortable with the selection process
for the interim legislature. The town and regional councils, of course, are
all made up of people chosen by the US military. One media commentator said
that this selection process amounts to a job security program for the
members of the Governing Council, since their cousins, business partners,
associates, and party members all staff the majority of the town
councils--except in the Sunni triangle, where unpopular mayors are
assassinated or run out of town.
So far, the two leading Shiite clerics in Iraq, Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani
and Abdel-Aziz al-Hakim, have both refused to back this plan, insisting
that Iraqis must be allowed elect the members of the new legislature.
Certainly their experience with the Governing Council is a strong argument
for supporting elections as soon as possible.
But that puts the US in a bind. The Shiites are our main allies in Iraq and
they make up about 60% of the population, but they have strong religious
ties to Iran, which George Bush has declared a member of the "Axis of
Evil." If the Bush administration allows a vote, the Shiites are likely to
win a majority of the legislature and may--I say "may," because nothing is
absolutely certain--align themselves with the fundamentalist government of
Iran. Yet, without the promise of elections, the Shiites might decide we're
not their allies after all. And the dicey "security situation" in Iraq
could worse very quickly.
The Bush administration needs to make up its mind: either hold elections in
good faith and mollify an increasingly angry Iraqi populace or continue a
useless effort to control an ultimately uncontrollable situation. It's time
to ditch the Governing Council and walk our talk about free and fair
elections. If Iraq's new government decides to ally itself with Iran, well,
then Bush & Co. can just learn to practice a little diplomacy, for a
change.
|