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With Friends Like These, US Enemies Don't Seem As Bad
by Ivan Eland
The media made much of President Bush's "Axis of Evil"--much as
administration "spinners" had hoped. The excessive deionization of the
admittedly autocratic Iran, North Korea, and Iraq allowed the
administration to build public support for an aggressive invasion of Iraq
as well as hard-line policies toward these "rogue" states. But a more
appropriate moniker might be "axis of exaggeration." The Bush
administration has failed to find unconventional (nuclear, biological and
chemical) weapons in Iraq or to provide convincing evidence that the crude
and limited super weapons programs in any of these three nations actually
constitute a threat to a superpower half a world away. Perhaps as shocking
as the administration's exaggeration of the threat from these three
"rogues," is the unacknowledged real danger posed by snuggling up to
"friendly" despotic countries--Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Egypt--the Bush
administration's "axis of expediency."
Pakistan, a US "friend," may be the most dangerous country on the planet.
It is believed to have between 24 and 48 nuclear weapons--as opposed to
North Korea's estimated handful--that could easily fall into the hands of
radical Islamists if the unstable government of Pervez Musharraf falls. The
two recent assassination attempts against him--perhaps with the support of
elements of the Pakistani military--make this a real possibility. Although
Kim Jong Il of North Korea, is quirky and unpredictable, he is unlikely to
pass such weapons on to terrorists that can't be deterred--the biggest
threat facing the United States. North Korea has not been actively
sponsoring terrorist attacks since the 1980s. The same cannot be said of
Pakistani radicals, who are more likely to pass nuclear weapons on to
radical Islamic terror groups, such as al Qaeda.
In fact, we cannot be totally certain that some members of the current
Pakistani government have not helped Islamic terrorists, willing to pay, on
nuclear matters. Parts of the Pakistani government--which supported the
radical Islamists against the Soviets in Afghanistan in the 1980s and the
subsequent Taliban government there until September 11--still have close
connections to the Islamist movement. Musharraf, trying to win the support
of Pakistani Islamists, has been lukewarm on cracking down on al Qaeda in
Pakistan. Reports continue to emerge about Pakistan as the proliferator of
nuclear expertise--helping North Korea, Iran and Libya in their quest for
such weapons. The Pakistani nuclear program even had a brochure advertising
its nuclear weapons technology to aspiring nuclear states and middlemen.
How do we know that Abdul Qadeer Khan, the head of that program who is
anti-Western, is not also peddling nuclear expertise, technology and
materials to radical Islamic terrorists groups? Yet despite Pakistan's bad
behavior over the years, the United States has supported, even aided,
autocratic Pakistani governments.
The governments of Saudi Arabia and Egypt are also corrupt, tyrannies that
likely have unconventional weapons programs, commit gross human rights
abuses against their people and have therefore spawned radical Islamic
terrorists. The leaders of al Qaeda came from those two countries. At
minimum, the Saudis fund radical Islamic schools in Pakistan and other
places that churn out potential terrorists. Some Saudis may even fund
specific terror attacks. Yet the United States looks the other way because
of the perceived need for Saudi oil (no matter that the Saudis have little
else to export and thus have little incentive to hold their oil off the
world market). Similarly, Secretary of State Colin Powell recently chose to
praise the tyrannical dictatorship of Hosni Mubarak in Egypt and soft-pedal
any criticism. Unbeknownst to most Americans, US support for these two
corrupt, authoritarian regimes is the primary force energizing radical
Islamists--such as Osama bin Laden--to attack American targets.
The Bush administration's rhetorical justifications for invading Iraq
(after the threat from Iraq's unconventional weapons was debunked) were to
end a brutal regime and set an example to inspire the "democratization" of
the Middle East. But continued Bush administration support for equally
brutal, but "friendly," regimes reveals the hypocrisy of those
justifications and the emptiness of the administration's goal of spreading
democracy.
--Ivan Eland, Director of the Center on Peace & Liberty at The
Independent Institute in Oakland, CA.
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