Not Spoiling This Rancid Election
by Lansing Scott
Ain't presidential politics grand?
First we get the rise of Howard Dean, a centrist politician turned
insurgent who gets lots of people excited because he articulates a
forceful
opposition to Bush's policies and promises to shake up the Democratic
Party
establishment. Then he gets crushed like a bug by that same
establishment
along with establishment media, which deems him too ... excitable.
With the Dean's fall comes the quick coronation of the establishment
candidate, who doesn't excite anyone but everyone votes for because they
believe he alone is capable of defeating the evil Bush. Never mind that
New
Democrat Kerry voted for NAFTA, the Patriot Act, and the invasion of
Iraq
(and thus the Bush doctrine of "pre-emptive" war). When our nation most
urgently needs a national debate that will vigorously challenge Bush's
core
policies, Kerry offers caveats. Consequently, Republican strategists
will
be able to steer the debate toward the grave and gathering danger of gay
marriage.
On too many issues, Kerry is merely Bush with caveats. "Almost Bush" is
the
logical product of the "Anybody-But-Bush" strategy. (Of course, their
differences will be magnified and represented as a "stark choice" in the
coming months, but read the fine print...)
Amid this sorry situation comes the candidacy of Ralph Nader--Public
Citizen Number One turned Public Enemy Number One for daring to assert
that
we should expect more from our democracy. Nader promises to open a
second
front of attack to defeat Bush, offering critiques the Democrats will
surely be too timid to risk, but a heaping bandwagon of critics can only
sow fear that Nader will help extend the reign of the Evil One.
Many of Nader's most vocal (and in many cases downright vicious) critics
are progressives who agree with his positions, but believe that Bush
must
be defeated at all costs, even if it means excluding their own views
from
national political discourse and choosing Bad over Worse. These critics
are
in turn denounced by those who argue that we must build real political
alternatives to the dismal duopoly at all costs, even if it risks
electing
the (slightly) Greater Evil.
Divide and bicker. I'm sure the Bush camp is enjoying a hearty laugh
over
the whole spectacle.
The thing is, we don't have to choose between defeating the greater evil
and building political alternatives. We can do both.
First of all, we can eliminate this silly spoiler argument once and for
all. Ralph Nader and the Greens did not create the spoiler
problem--it's a
product of a flawed voting system that allows a candidate to win even
when
opposed by the majority of voters. This flaw can easily be fixed.
We can simply require a candidate to get a majority of the votes in
order
to win an election. When more than two candidates are running, a
majority
winner can be determined by means of a runoff if no candidate receives
an
initial majority. A runoff can occur without the trouble of an
additional
election simply by allowing voters to rank the candidates. If no
candidate
earns a majority of first-choice votes, then the lowest vote-getter is
eliminated. Those who had voted for the eliminated candidate would have
their votes redistributed to their second choice. This would be
repeated,
if necessary, till one candidate gains a majority of the votes.
Goodbye to "spoilers." Goodbye to "wasted votes." Goodbye to the
two-party
stranglehold on American politics.
This simple reform is called "instant runoff voting" and is used
successfully in Ireland, Australia, and other places that value both
majority rule and the wider spectrum of political representation that
comes
with multiple parties and candidates. (For a relevant illustration of
IRV,
see www.chrisgates.net/irv; for more background, see www.fairvote.org.)
You'd think that if Democrats really considered the spoiler problem the
deadly threat that they claim, they would work to fix it at its source
instead of blaming it on Nader. As long as Democrats consider opening up
our democracy a greater threat than losing elections, it's hard to take
their protestations seriously.
Okay, but IRV is not going to be implemented before November, so what
about
this year? Without IRV, isn't Nader still a spoiler?
Not in the vast majority of states, thanks to the Electoral College
(another flaw in our democracy). Instead of abiding by a simple, direct,
popular vote for president, we have this arcane institution that turns
the
presidential election into a winner-take-all contest within each
individual
state. These state victories determine the electoral votes, which are
the
only votes that count in electing a president. One effect of the
Electoral
College is that it makes the spoiler issue relevant in only a handful of
states, as most states will have clear majority winners. The contest
will
really be decided in just a few "swing states."
Nader's critics ignore the Electoral College and its implications for
voting. Let's review the 2000 election in Washington state, where Gore
beat
Bush by 5.6%, nearly 140,000 votes.
All those who voted for Nader in our state have nothing to regret. Even
if
all 103,002 had voted for Gore, he would not have received a single
additional vote in the Electoral College.
But what about those voters who knew that Nader best represented their
political views but chose to vote "for the lesser evil" for "strategic"
reasons?
Consider this: If Nader had received another 20,000 votes, the Green
Party
in Washington state would have surpassed the 5% threshold that confers
major party status, and we would have been one step closer to a
democracy
that gives voice to a wider spectrum of political viewpoints.
So who really spoiled whom here? Which vote was more strategic?
Will Bush get any more Washington votes this year than he did in 2000?
Unlikely. And most states are even more predictable (i.e., less
"spoilable") than Washington.
So, instead of trying to silence Nader's voice (representing the views
of a
significant minority of citizens) in all 50 states, perhaps the
"Anybody-But-Bush" Nader critics should focus on persuading Ralph to
focus
his campaign efforts in the states not considered "swing" (i.e., most of
the country). Then they should forget about Nader and develop a
laser-like
focus on winning those swing states for their non-Bush candidate.
It's unclear how much Nader will consider such strategic concerns this
year. He is running independent of the Green Party, which will likely
field
its own candidate and is contemplating a "strategic states" campaign
this
year, as advocated by Green frontrunner David Cobb. Nader has so far
spoken
against such a strategy, but may be more persuadable on the subject
than he
was in 2000 if the election appears to be extremely close again.
In the meantime, voters in most states around the country can feel free
to
vote for Nader, or a Green, or socialist, or libertarian, or whomever
they
feel best represents their views, without risk of "spoiling" an election
that is already smelling pretty rancid.
--Lansing Scott, ETS! co-founder, longtime Green activist, and
currently
facilitator of the Green Party of Seattle
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