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Warm Globally, Act Locally
by Geov Parrish
Last week was "Global Warming Week" in Seattle. On Friday, March 24, Al
Gore was in town, burnishing Mayor Greg Nickels' green credentials as
they both talked about ways to reduce global warming. Two days earlier,
King County Executive Ron Sims came out with his own plan to cut county
greenhouse gas emissions. The timing of the release, Sims said, was
(wink, wink, nudge, nudge) "accidental."
To which I have only one question: Where the hell have you guys been?
Don't get me wrong. I love that first Nickels and now Sims have put
themselves among the forefront of local elected officials around the
country who are trying to help pick up the slack for the truly criminal
failure of the Bush administration to do anything to curb global
warming. Of all the crimes of the Bush administration, its five (and
counting) critical years of indifference to global warming have had the
most profound implications for the future of our species. While most of
the rest of the world has been scrambling to at least try to meet the
modest greenhouse gas emission reductions mandated by the Kyoto
Protocol, US emissions, already a disproportionate share of the world's
total, continue to steadily rise.
But it's been fourteen years since Gore wrote Earth in the
Balance, a groundbreaking work that was, among other things, one of
the first widely read calls for taking action on global warming. Even
then, it had been several years since scientists had begun sounding the
alarms. In the many years since, the severity of planetary warming has
exceeded all predictions. Not just Bush, but also the Clinton/Gore
administration did nothing. Long before Bush abandoned Kyoto,
Clinton's people were the major impediment to getting the treaty done in
the first place.
No credible scientist, outside perhaps the White House, disputes the
human origins of global warming any longer. Some scientists now believe
we may already be approaching or have even passed the "point of no
return," where changes in the atmosphere begin feeding upon themselves
and the planet will continue its slow, inexorable cooking no matter what
humanity does.
It's a grim, terrifying scenario, one that must be taken seriously. And
the notion that we may have already sealed our doom is no excuse for not
doing everything humanly possible to prevent it. That means going far
beyond the sensible, modest, and relatively painless measures planned by
Nickels and Sims. It also means taking a far more comprehensive approach
than the scattershot,
whichever-branches-of-government-have-visionary-leaders phenomenon we're
seeing now.
For instance, at the same time Nickels wants to bring Seattle into
compliance with Kyoto, his fervor for increased density in
Seattle--which in itself could be good--is actually compounding suburban
sprawl, because the new density is coming as older, relatively
affordable housing is replaced mostly by glitzy new high-end
developments, driving lower-income people to the suburbs in search of
semi-affordable housing. That, in turn, drives existing suburbanites
farther afield, and so on. Net result: more commuting, more greenhouse
gases. Meanwhile, our panoply of poorly coordinated transit agencies
ensures that local governments' greenhouse gas reduction efforts bear
almost no relationship to efforts to get new people to use public transit.
The urgency of the global warming crisis requires thinking creatively
and radically. What infrastructure changes would be needed to create a
metropolitan Seattle that no longer consumes fossil fuels? Has anybody
even seriously considered the question? Why are we investing massive
amounts of taxpayer money in subsidizing development of biotech, an
industry whose profitability is still unproven? Why not invest money
instead creating an industrial park devoted to developing commercial
businesses working to find ways to replace our fossil fuel dependency?
We know for sure that sooner or later, probably sooner, there will be
massive demand for such a transition, and hence a lot of money in it.
And, not incidentally, we will also need to refine that technology, some
of it already existing, in order to survive as a species.
There has finally, finally become something of a critical public mass in
America (or at least in blue states) acknowledging that something needs
to be done, and soon, about global warming. Nickels and Sims are out
front not only because it's good public policy, but because it's good
politics. But a lot more politicians have to get on board, and all
politicians' thinking needs at once to attend to the minutiae of local
policy and the vastness of revolutionary changes in our industries, our
transportation systems, our homes, and our way of life.
No politicians or policy makers, including Nickels and Sims, are there
yet. They need to be pushed farther, as they've already been pushed into
acting, by a public that seems to understand the scope of the problem
better than they do. Sims and especially Nickels deserve all the credit
in the world for positing initial changes and for drawing attention to
the problem. But even they have to go farther. Much farther. If humanity
is facing extinction in a few generations--starting with not just rising
seas, but fresh water scarcities, desertification, and widespread
famine, among other things--it shouldn't be for lack of trying today.
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